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Landlords

Will this rental property cash flow?

Monthly and yearly cash flow, NOI, cap rate, cash-on-cash return and DSCR for a rental, with a 5-year projection.

Updated October 12, 2026 · fact-checked against official sources

Purchase and loan
Income
Expenses
Projection
Monthly cash flow (year 1)
-$409

-$4,908 a year after the mortgage, on $134,500 of cash invested.

Monthly costs: $3,879 against $3,470 of collected income
Mortgage (P&I)$2,245
Taxes, insurance, HOA, utilities, other$1,000
Management$274
Repairs + capex reserves$360
Net operating income (NOI), year 1$22,037
Cap rate (NOI / price)4.9%
Cash-on-cash return-3.6%
DSCR (NOI / debt service)0.82
Operating expense ratio47.1%
50% rule quick check: if expenses ate half the rent, cash flow would be -$445/month. This is an investor rule of thumb, not a standard. Your itemized estimate above is 47.1% of income.
5-year projection
NOI Cash flow
$25K$9.9K-$4.9KYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5
Hover the chart for exact values.
YearIncomeExpensesNOICash flowLoan paid down
1$41,640$19,603$22,037-$4,908$3,428
2$42,889$20,191$22,698-$4,247$3,676
3$44,176$20,797$23,379-$3,566$3,942
4$45,501$21,421$24,080-$2,865$4,227
5$46,866$22,064$24,803-$2,142$4,532

Before income taxes. Debt service stays fixed; rent and other income grow at the rent rate, fixed costs at the expense rate.

A rental cash flows when the rent you actually collect covers every operating cost and the mortgage, with money left over. This calculator builds that answer line by line, so you can see which assumption makes or breaks the deal.

How the calculation works

  1. Effective gross income (EGI) = rent × units × 12, minus vacancy and credit loss, plus other income such as laundry or parking.
  2. Operating expenses = property tax + insurance + HOA + owner-paid utilities + other costs, plus management (a share of rent collected) and repairs and capital reserves (a share of gross rent).
  3. Net operating income (NOI) = EGI − operating expenses. NOI ignores the mortgage, so you can compare properties no matter how they are financed.
  4. Cash flow = NOI − yearly principal and interest. This is before income taxes.
  5. Ratios. Cap rate = NOI ÷ price. Cash-on-cash return = cash flow ÷ cash invested (down payment, closing costs and rehab). DSCR = NOI ÷ debt service. Expense ratio = operating expenses ÷ EGI.

Worked example

A two-unit building costs $450,000. You put 25% down, borrow $337,500 at 7% for 30 years, and pay $12,000 in closing costs plus $10,000 in repairs. Each unit rents for $1,800 a month, and laundry brings in $50.

Year 1, using the calculator's default inputs
LinePer year
Gross rent (2 × $1,800 × 12)$43,200
Vacancy at 5%−$2,160
Other income ($50 × 12)+$600
Effective gross income$41,640
Tax $7,200, insurance $2,400, utilities $1,800, other $600−$12,000
Management 8% of rent collected−$3,283
Repairs 5% + capital reserves 5% of gross rent−$4,320
Net operating income$22,037
Mortgage P&I ($2,245 × 12)−$26,945
Cash flow−$4,908 (about −$409 a month)

The cap rate is 4.9%, the DSCR is 0.82 and cash-on-cash return is −3.6% on $134,500 of cash. The building runs fine as a business (NOI is positive), but at this price and rate the loan costs more than the property earns. To break even you would need more rent, a lower price, a bigger down payment or a lower rate. Try each in the calculator to see which gap is smallest.

Choosing your inputs

  • Property tax and insurance: use the actual tax bill and an insurance quote for a rental (landlord) policy, not the seller's numbers if the purchase will trigger a reassessment.
  • Vacancy: include turnover time between tenants and unpaid rent, not just empty months.
  • Management: even if you self-manage, entering a fee shows whether the deal still works if you later hire help.
  • Growth rates: the 5-year table grows rent and expenses at your rates while the mortgage payment stays fixed. In rent-regulated apartments, increases are set by law, so use the allowed rate instead of a market guess.

Cash flow vs taxable income

The IRS treats your rental differently from your bank account. According to Publication 527, you report rental income and expenses on Schedule E; you can deduct mortgage interest but not principal; improvements must be capitalized and depreciated (residential rental buildings over 27.5 years); advance rent counts as income when you receive it; and a security deposit you plan to return is not income. Depreciation often makes taxable income lower than cash flow.

Next steps

Dig into one number at a time with the cap rate, cash-on-cash and DSCR calculators. See how much vacancy you can survive with the break-even occupancy calculator, estimate your deduction with the rental depreciation calculator, and read rental income taxes for small landlords.

Common questions

How do you calculate cash flow on a rental property?

Start with gross rent, subtract vacancy and add other income to get effective income. Subtract operating expenses (taxes, insurance, utilities, management, repairs, reserves) to get net operating income (NOI). Subtract the yearly mortgage payment (principal and interest) from NOI. What is left is cash flow before income taxes.

What is the 50% rule for rentals?

It is an investor rule of thumb that operating expenses, not counting the mortgage, run about half of the rent. It is a quick screen, not an official standard. Real expenses vary a lot with taxes, building age and who pays utilities, so itemize them before you buy.

Why do you include capital reserves if I am not replacing anything yet?

Roofs, boilers, water heaters and appliances wear out. Setting aside a share of rent each month spreads those big costs over the years. Leaving reserves out makes cash flow look better than it really is.

Is cash flow the same as taxable rental income?

No. For taxes you deduct mortgage interest but not principal, and you also deduct depreciation, which is not a cash cost (IRS Publication 527). Reserves you set aside are not deductible until you actually spend them, and improvements are depreciated rather than deducted at once. So taxable income can be lower or higher than cash flow.

What does DSCR mean, and what number do lenders want?

Debt service coverage ratio is NOI divided by the yearly mortgage payment. A DSCR of 1.0 means the property covers its loan exactly; below 1.0 it does not. The minimum a lender requires depends on the lender and loan program, so ask yours.

Fact-checked October 12, 2026

The calculator uses no regulatory rates: every expense, vacancy and growth rate is a user input. The 50% rule is labeled as an investor heuristic. Tax statements (advance rent is income when received, security deposits you intend to return are not income, mortgage principal is not deductible, improvements are capitalized, residential rental property is depreciated over 27.5 years under GDS, Schedule E reporting) verified in IRS Publication 527. Worked example recomputed from the tool defaults. Re-verified 2026-10-12. Hand checks: defaults give P&I $2,245.40/mo, EGI $41,640, opex $19,603, NOI $22,037, cash flow -$4,908/yr, cap rate 4.9%, DSCR 0.82, CoC -3.6% on $134,500; second case ($300k, 20% down, 6.5%, one unit at $2,500, $5,500 fixed, 10% repairs+reserves, 5% vacancy) gives NOI $20,000 and about +$150/mo. Edge cases (0 rate, 100% down, 0 units) render without NaN.

Sources

  1. Publication 527, Residential Rental Property · IRS (accessed October 12, 2026)

General information, not legal, tax or financial advice. Rules change; confirm with the agency or a professional before you act.