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ARM or fixed-rate mortgage: which costs less?

Compare an adjustable-rate mortgage with a fixed-rate loan using your own caps, margin and index path, including the worst case.

Updated October 12, 2026 · fact-checked against official sources

Fixed-rate offer
ARM offer (from your Loan Estimate)
Over 7 years, the ARM costs less in interest by
$37,039

With your index path, the ARM stays cheaper for the full 30 years. If every cap is hit, that happens in year 10.

Fixed payment (P&I, 30 yr)$4,144
ARM payment, first 7 years$3,792
ARM rate after first reset (your path)6.55%
Worst-case ARM payment (lifetime cap)$5,573
Worst case first reachedYear 9
Interest paid in 7 yrs: fixed$298,099
Interest paid in 7 yrs: ARM$261,060
Balance left after 7 yrs: fixed / ARM$549,999 / $542,497
Average monthly principal & interest by loan year
Fixed 30-yr ARM (your index path) ARM worst case (all caps hit)
$5.6K$4.7K$3.8KYr 1Yr 5Yr 9Yr 13Yr 17Yr 21Yr 25Yr 29Yr 30
Hover the chart for exact values.

Principal and interest only. Taxes, insurance and closing costs are left out because they are usually the same for both loans; add any difference in points or fees yourself. We assume caps limit decreases as well as increases; check your note.

An adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) usually starts at a lower rate than a fixed-rate loan, then changes on a schedule. Whether it costs less depends on two things you can measure, how long you keep the loan and how far the rate can rise, and one you can only guess: where the index goes. This calculator runs both loans month by month so you can see the cost over your own time horizon and the worst case your contract allows.

How an ARM rate is set

Rate after the fixed period
Index + margin
Limited by your caps
7/6 ARM
Fixed 7 yrs
Then changes every 6 months
Lowest rate
Usually the margin
Check the minimum on your Loan Estimate
Where to find your terms
AIR table
Page 2 of the Loan Estimate

How the calculation works

  • Fixed loan: one payment for the whole term, from the standard amortization formula.
  • ARM, fixed period: the payment is set as if your starting rate lasted 30 years.
  • Each reset: the new rate is the index on that date plus the margin. It can move no more than the first-change cap at the first reset and the later-change cap after that. It can never go above your start rate plus the lifetime cap, or below the floor. The payment is then recalculated so the remaining balance pays off by the end of the 30 years.
  • Cost: we compare the interest each loan charges over the years you expect to keep it. Principal you repay is not a cost; it shows up as a lower balance when you sell or refinance.
  • Worst case: a second ARM run assumes the index jumps so high that every cap binds, which gives the highest payment the loan allows.

Worked example

You borrow $600,000. The fixed offer is 7.375% for 30 years. The ARM is a 7/6 starting at 6.5%, with a 2.75% margin, 2/1/5 caps and a 2.75% floor. Fannie Mae ARMs use the 30-day average SOFR as their index, which the New York Fed published at about 3.82% on October 9, 2026, so we start the index at 3.8%. You expect to move in seven years.

$600,000 loan: 7/6 ARM vs 30-year fixed
ResultFixed 7.375%7/6 ARM 6.5%
Monthly P&I, years 1–7$4,144$3,792
Interest paid in 7 years$298,099$261,060
Balance after 7 years$549,999$542,497
Index flat at 3.8%: first reset rate—6.55%
Every cap hit: highest payment—$5,573 (11.5%), from year 9

Over seven years the ARM saves about $37,000 in interest. If the index stays flat it stays cheaper for the life of the loan. But if the index rises half a point a year, the first reset hits the 2-point cap (8.5%) and the ARM's total interest passes the fixed loan's in year 10. In the worst case the payment climbs to $5,573, about $1,430 more than the fixed payment. That is the number to test against your budget.

Where to get the inputs

Every ARM input is on your Loan Estimate. Page 1 shows the starting rate and how high the rate and payment can go. The Adjustable Interest Rate (AIR) table on page 2 lists the index and margin, the minimum and maximum rate, when the first change happens, how often it changes after that, and the limits on the first and later changes. Enter those, not a generic example. The CFPB's ARM handbook walks through each line.

Edge cases and limits

  • Teaser rates: if your starting rate is below the index plus the margin, the rate can rise at the first reset even if the index never moves.
  • Caps on decreases: we assume caps limit drops as well as rises. Some loans only cap increases; check your note.
  • Rounding: your note may round the index plus margin to a set step. Small differences from this calculator are normal.
  • Fees and points are not included. If one offer costs more at closing, add that to its side.

Next steps

Read fixed vs adjustable-rate mortgages for the bigger picture, compare complete offers with the mortgage offer comparison calculator, and learn to read each line in your Loan Estimate. If you lean fixed, the 15 vs 30-year calculator helps pick the term.

Common questions

What do the numbers in a 7/6 or 5/1 ARM mean?

The first number is how many years the starting rate lasts. The second tells you how often the rate changes after that: “6” means every six months and “1” means once a year. A 7/6 ARM is fixed for seven years, then adjusts every six months.

How is my new ARM rate set at each reset?

The new rate is the index plus the margin, limited by your caps. The first change and later changes can have different caps, and there is a lifetime maximum. Your Loan Estimate lists the index, margin, caps and the minimum and maximum rate in its Adjustable Interest Rate (AIR) table.

Can an ARM rate go below the margin?

Generally no. The CFPB says an ARM’s rate is generally never lower than the margin, and Fannie Mae’s rules say rates on its ARMs may never fall below the margin. Check the minimum rate on your own Loan Estimate.

Is an ARM a good idea if I plan to refinance before it adjusts?

Only if you could also afford the highest payment the loan allows. The CFPB warns not to count on refinancing: you might not qualify if your home loses value or your income drops. This calculator shows that worst-case payment.

What index do ARMs use today?

It depends on the loan. Fannie Mae’s ARMs use the 30-day average SOFR published by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York; other lenders may use other indexes such as Treasury (CMT) rates. Your Loan Estimate names the index.

Fact-checked October 12, 2026

Re-verified 2026-10-12 by an independent pass. CHARM booklet (06/2020): index + margin, 5/1 vs 5/6m naming, AIR table on Loan Estimate page 2, 'generally never lower than the margin', refinancing warning. Ask CFPB ARM page: caps may limit decreases, do not assume you can refinance. Fannie Mae B2-1.4-02: SOFR 30-day average index, rate never below margin. NY Fed API: 30-day average SOFR 3.81569% effective 2026-10-09. Worked example recomputed by hand: fixed P&I $4,144.05, ARM $3,792.41, 7-yr interest $298,099 vs $261,060, flat first reset 6.55%, rising-path break-even year 10, worst case $5,572.89 at 11.5% from year 9. Edge cases (0 loan, blanks, floor above start, short fixed terms) checked.

Sources

  1. What is the difference between a fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) loan? · CFPB (accessed October 12, 2026)
  2. Consumer Handbook on Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (CHARM booklet), last updated 06/2020 · CFPB (accessed October 12, 2026)
  3. Notice of Availability of Revised Consumer Information Publication (CHARM booklet) · CFPB (accessed October 12, 2026)
  4. SOFR Averages and Index (30-day average SOFR, effective 2026-10-09: 3.81569%) · Federal Reserve Bank of New York (accessed October 12, 2026)
  5. Selling Guide B2-1.4-02: Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs) · Fannie Mae (accessed October 12, 2026)

General information, not legal, tax or financial advice. Rules change; confirm with the agency or a professional before you act.